Author: Danny Popescu | August 10, 2021
Last week proved a strong week for equities with Canada’s TSX, America’s S&P 500, Dow and NASDAQ and the global MSCI All-Country World Index each gaining 1% over the past five-day trading session.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and employment expansion continues to drive equity advances. In the U.S. GDP has grown 6.4% during 2021, and Canadian GDP has grown by more than 5% in the first quarter as we await Q2 GDP numbers domestically. July job growth has been strong in both countries with 94,000 new jobs in Canada and 943,000 in the U.S. The unemployment rate in Canada has fallen to 7.5% and 5.4% in the U.S.
Strong jobs growth combined with increasing wages could drive inflation concerns. Many countries: China, Germany, U.S., and Canada, will announce inflation numbers for July this week, and we will see whether these concerns are justified, and eventually whether monetary policy will be affected. For the near future it appears that bond-buying programs and interest rates will be held steady by central banks around the world.
Should inflation numbers be higher than expected (or above the desired range set by central bankers) most analysts believe that action will be delayed until the impact of the delta variant of Covid-19 is known. As we wait, the measures in-place by the Bank of Canada, the Federal Reserve and other banks will continue to support equities markets.
What’s ahead for this week and beyond?
In Canada, producer inflation will be the lone indicator of importance on the economic release calendar.
In the U.S., job openings and labor turnover for June is scheduled for release and second quarter productivity. July’s consumer and producer inflation will be announced.
Globally, the Tokyo Olympics concluded on Sunday and Japanese markets will be closed on Monday. China will release its latest inflation numbers through the Consumer and Producer Price Indices. Germany will also release its inflation data.
“I have prepared this commentary to give you my thoughts on various investment alternatives and considerations which may be relevant to your portfolio. This commentary reflects my opinions alone and may not reflect the views of Harbourfront Wealth Management. In expressing these opinions, I bring my best judgment and professional experience from the perspective of someone who surveys a broad range of investments. Therefore, this report should be viewed as a reflection of my informed opinions rather than analyses produced by Harbourfront Wealth Management Inc.”
Disclaimer – This information transmitted is intended to provide general guidance on matters of interest for the personal use of the reader who accepts full responsibility for its use and is not to be considered a definitive analysis of the law and factual situation of any particular individual or entity. As such, it should not be used as a substitute for consultation with a professional accounting, tax, legal or other professional advisor. Laws and regulations are continually changing, and their application and impact can vary widely based on the specific facts involved and will vary based on the particular situation of an individual or entity. Prior to making any decision or taking any action, you should consult with a professional advisor. The information is provided with the understanding that Harbourfront Wealth Management is not herein engaged in rendering legal, accounting, tax or other professional advice. While we have made every attempt to ensure the information contained in this document is reliable, Harbourfront Wealth Management is not responsible for any errors or omissions, or for the results obtained from the use of this information. All information is provided “as is,” with no guarantee of completeness, accuracy, timeliness or as to the outcome to be obtained from the use of this information, and is without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect those of Harbourfront Wealth Management Inc. The particulars contained herein were obtained from sources we believe to be reliable but are not guaranteed by us and may be incomplete. The opinions expressed are not to be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned herein. Harbourfront or any of its connected or related parties may act as financial advisor or fiscal agent for certain companies mentioned herein and may receive remuneration for its services. The comments and information pertaining to any investment products (The Portfolios) sponsored by Willoughby Asset Management are not to be construed as a public offering of securities in any jurisdiction of Canada. The offering of units of The Portfolios is made pursuant to the Offering Memorandum or Simplified Prospectus and only to investors in Canadian jurisdictions. Important information about The Portfolios is contained in the Offering Memorandum or Simplified Prospectus available through Willoughby Asset Management. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees, performance fees, and expenses all may be associated with investments in The Portfolios. Investments in The Portfolios are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Historical annual compounded total returns including changes in unit value and reinvestment of all distributions do not take into account sales, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any security holder that would have reduced returns. Unit values and investment returns will fluctuate and there is no assurance that The Portfolios can maintain a specific net asset value. Harbourfront Wealth Management Inc. (“Harbourfront”) has relationships with related and /or connected issuers, which may include the securities or funds discussed in this commentary and are disclosed in our Statement of Policies Regarding Related and Connected Issuers. This policy is included in your new client package, on our website, or can be obtained from your investment advisor.
Click below to return to the Newswire portal.